Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Bastia
31.3%
Draw
32.7%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Bastia
vs
0.85
Clermont
Markets
BTTS32.9%
Over 0.583.7%
Over 1.551.1%
Over 2.525.6%
Over 3.510.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.8%
0-0
16.3%
0-1
15.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-1
6.0%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
0-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).