Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.7%
Salernitana
36.6%
Draw
27.7%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Salernitana
vs
0.77
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS33.6%
Over 0.580.2%
Over 1.551.6%
Over 2.524.0%
Over 3.59.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.8%
1-0
15.6%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
13.0%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
6.0%
0-2
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
2.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
0-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).