Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.2%
Crewe
26.3%
Draw
42.5%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Crewe
vs
1.31
Notts County
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.6%
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.4%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).