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HHT: 11CSV

07 Apr 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.3%
Espanol
27.6%
Draw
21.2%
Albacete

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Espanol

vs
0.77

Albacete

Markets

BTTS40.1%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.2%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
11.0%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).