Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.4%
Tranmere
23.3%
Draw
26.3%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Tranmere
vs
1.14
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).