Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.1%
Southampton
27.0%
Draw
32.9%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Southampton
vs
1.11
Leicester
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
12.3%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).