Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.0%
Swansea
22.0%
Draw
10.0%
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Swansea
vs
0.60
Sheffield Wednesday
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.9%
1-0
14.8%
1-1
10.1%
3-0
9.5%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-0
4.5%
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
4-1
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).