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AHT: 01

15 Sept 2024 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.6%
Legia Warszawa
30.6%
Draw
35.8%
Raków Częstochowa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Legia Warszawa

vs
1.17

Raków Częstochowa

Markets

BTTS47.9%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
10.6%
1-0
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.8%
0-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).