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DHT: 01

23 Apr 2025 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.6%
Salzburg
22.0%
Draw
20.3%
AC London

Expected Goals (xG)

2.12

Salzburg

vs
1.20

AC London

Markets

BTTS62.3%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.542.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
1-0
6.9%
3-1
6.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
0-0
4.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).