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23 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.8%
Woking
27.7%
Draw
23.5%
Maidenhead

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Woking

vs
1.00

Maidenhead

Markets

BTTS50.5%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).