Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.2%
Inter
12.9%
Draw
5.9%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Inter
vs
0.56
Spal
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.3%
3-0
12.4%
1-0
11.1%
4-0
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
3-1
7.0%
1-1
6.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-0
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
0-1
2.5%
5-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).