Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →92.8%
Porto
5.7%
Draw
1.5%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
3.31
Porto
vs
0.28
AVS
Markets
BTTS23.3%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.569.5%
Over 3.548.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
16.7%
2-0
15.2%
4-0
13.8%
1-0
9.3%
5-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
2-1
4.2%
4-1
3.8%
0-0
2.7%
5-1
2.5%
1-1
2.4%
0-1
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).