Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Bolton
25.5%
Draw
23.7%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Bolton
vs
0.83
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.4%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).