Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.8%
Arouca
28.3%
Draw
43.9%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Arouca
vs
1.44
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).