Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.8%
Leyton Orient
23.0%
Draw
17.2%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Leyton Orient
vs
0.76
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.3%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).