Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.1%
Paderborn
28.0%
Draw
20.8%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Paderborn
vs
0.90
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-0
10.3%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).