Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Hull
29.4%
Draw
24.6%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Hull
vs
0.93
Charlton
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).