Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.9%
Crawley Town
22.8%
Draw
45.4%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Crawley Town
vs
1.57
Bolton
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).