Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.7%
Bournemouth
27.0%
Draw
34.3%
Newcastle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Bournemouth
vs
1.48
Newcastle
Markets
BTTS62.9%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
0-1
5.4%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).