Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →92.0%
Southport
5.1%
Draw
2.8%
Curzon Ashton
Expected Goals (xG)
4.48
Southport
vs
0.89
Curzon Ashton
Markets
BTTS58.1%
Over 0.599.6%
Over 1.597.0%
Over 2.590.2%
Over 3.578.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-0
7.9%
5-0
7.1%
3-0
7.0%
4-1
7.0%
5-1
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
2-0
4.7%
2-1
4.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-2
2.8%
3-2
2.8%
1-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).