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HHT: 30CSV

15 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.2%
Morton
31.0%
Draw
24.8%
Queen of Sth

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Morton

vs
1.00

Queen of Sth

Markets

BTTS49.7%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.7%
0-0
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).