Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.8%
Heidenheim
25.6%
Draw
21.5%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Heidenheim
vs
1.06
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
0-1
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).