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27 Feb 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.0%
Solihull
28.0%
Draw
20.0%
Kidderminster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.52

Solihull

vs
0.85

Kidderminster

Markets

BTTS45.8%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
10.8%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).