Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.3%
Sivasspor
34.3%
Draw
31.4%
Erzurum BB
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Sivasspor
vs
1.16
Erzurum BB
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.4%
0-0
12.5%
2-1
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).