Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.7%
Sevilla
25.6%
Draw
50.7%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Sevilla
vs
1.62
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
11.0%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.2%
0-0
7.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).