Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.3%
Villarreal
16.5%
Draw
7.2%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
Villarreal
vs
0.54
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.5%
1-0
13.7%
3-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-1
7.6%
4-0
6.6%
0-0
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
0-1
3.2%
5-0
3.0%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).