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05 Apr 2025 · 10:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.2%
Vorskla
29.0%
Draw
47.8%
Zorya Luhansk

Expected Goals (xG)

0.84

Vorskla

vs
1.33

Zorya Luhansk

Markets

BTTS42.1%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.8%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
11.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).