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29 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.3%
Eyupspor
34.3%
Draw
31.3%
Gaziantep

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Eyupspor

vs
1.16

Gaziantep

Markets

BTTS51.8%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.4%
0-0
12.5%
2-1
8.0%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).