Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.0%
Sturm Graz
23.0%
Draw
21.0%
WSG Tirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Sturm Graz
vs
1.14
WSG Tirol
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.537.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.1%
0-1
4.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).