Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.6%
Charlton
15.0%
Draw
10.4%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Charlton
vs
0.74
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.537.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.5%
1-0
11.2%
3-0
10.0%
2-1
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
1-1
7.1%
4-0
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
0-1
3.9%
0-0
3.8%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).