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DHT: 10CSV

19 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.9%
AFC Wimbledon
22.1%
Draw
22.0%
Bristol Rvs

Expected Goals (xG)

1.70

AFC Wimbledon

vs
0.95

Bristol Rvs

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).