⚽ FootballData
2 – 1
HHT: 10CSV

01 Jan 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
56.9%
Doncaster
21.9%
Draw
21.2%
Fleetwood Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.82

Doncaster

vs
1.01

Fleetwood Town

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
6.0%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
3-2
3.0%
0-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).