Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.7%
Toulouse
22.1%
Draw
24.2%
Nice
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Toulouse
vs
1.17
Nice
Markets
BTTS57.9%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.2%
0-0
4.6%
3-2
3.5%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).