Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.7%
South Shields
17.3%
Draw
21.0%
Bury
Expected Goals (xG)
2.65
South Shields
vs
1.53
Bury
Markets
BTTS72.6%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.591.9%
Over 2.578.7%
Over 3.560.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
1-1
6.0%
3-2
5.5%
2-0
5.4%
4-1
4.8%
3-0
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
1-0
4.3%
4-2
3.7%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).