Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.6%
Leganes
26.2%
Draw
40.2%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Leganes
vs
1.36
Santander
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.4%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
0-0
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).