Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.1%
Moreirense
24.5%
Draw
64.4%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Moreirense
vs
1.70
Porto
Markets
BTTS36.1%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.8%
0-2
15.0%
0-0
11.1%
1-1
10.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
0-4
3.6%
2-1
2.8%
2-2
2.4%
1-4
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).