Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.8%
Cardiff
27.7%
Draw
41.5%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Cardiff
vs
1.46
QPR
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
7.3%
0-2
7.3%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).