Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.1%
Aris
24.7%
Draw
12.2%
Giannina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Aris
vs
0.63
Giannina
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
2-0
14.1%
1-1
11.2%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
0-1
5.0%
4-0
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).