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07 May 2022 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.1%
Valenciennes
26.8%
Draw
49.2%
Sochaux

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

Valenciennes

vs
1.29

Sochaux

Markets

BTTS38.8%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.515.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.0%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
11.3%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
5.1%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).