Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.1%
Wrexham
28.0%
Draw
25.9%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Wrexham
vs
1.06
Stoke
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.8%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).