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HHT: 20CSV

01 Oct 2023 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.6%
Darmstadt
26.3%
Draw
53.1%
Werder Bremen

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Darmstadt

vs
1.63

Werder Bremen

Markets

BTTS49.5%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
0-1
11.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.5%
1-0
6.4%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).