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HHT: 00CSV

01 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.2%
Bristol Rvs
25.1%
Draw
27.7%
Shrewsbury

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Bristol Rvs

vs
0.98

Shrewsbury

Markets

BTTS45.7%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.1%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).