Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.4%
Regensburg
25.1%
Draw
54.5%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Regensburg
vs
1.81
Dresden
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.5%
0-1
9.5%
0-0
6.9%
1-3
5.9%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
1-0
5.0%
2-0
3.1%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).