Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.4%
Plymouth
26.7%
Draw
46.9%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Plymouth
vs
1.59
Swansea
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.3%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
5.0%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).