Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.1%
Stockport
20.0%
Draw
16.9%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Stockport
vs
0.92
Crewe
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.1%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
6.7%
0-1
5.3%
0-0
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).