Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.9%
Norwich
28.9%
Draw
41.2%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Norwich
vs
1.35
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
10.6%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.6%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).