Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.1%
Pisa
21.5%
Draw
13.4%
Cesena
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Pisa
vs
0.86
Cesena
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
1-1
10.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
4.0%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).