Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Fenerbahce
27.3%
Draw
45.5%
Galatasaray
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Fenerbahce
vs
1.88
Galatasaray
Markets
BTTS67.1%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.542.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.4%
0-0
6.1%
1-3
5.8%
0-1
4.3%
2-3
4.2%
0-3
4.0%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).