Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.2%
Bournemouth
26.2%
Draw
34.6%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Bournemouth
vs
1.55
Man United
Markets
BTTS65.3%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.540.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
5.5%
0-0
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
0-2
4.9%
0-1
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).