Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.0%
Sandhausen
27.5%
Draw
27.5%
Erzgebirge Aue
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Sandhausen
vs
1.17
Erzgebirge Aue
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
7.9%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).